2016 General Election Wrap Up

Tue, 11/15/2016 - 7:30am

 

2016 General Election

Wrap Up

 

 

Upcoming Important Dates: 

 

December 5th           2015-2016 Legislative Session Convenes

January 10, 2017    Governor’s Budget Release

 

2016 General Election Wrap-Up

 

After a very heated, tense election cycle with national politics believed to be looming large over down-ticket races in California, the dust is beginning to settle this morning with significant policy changes ahead via the state initiative process and legislative Democrats poised to gain a two-thirds majority in the Assembly. Between the two major parties, over $29 million was spent in competitive California legislative races – resulting in one of the most divisive and malevolent election cycles with accusations of racism, theft and destruction of opponents’ signage, harsh campaign messaging and more coming from all angles, even in inter-party fights.

 

Assembly Democrats’ efforts, in particular, to gain a super majority was seemingly fruitful with three seats in range, pending final vote counts.  Assemblyman David Hadley (R) currently trails former Assemblyman Al Muratsuchi (D), Assemblyman Eric Linder (R) trails Sabrina Cervantez (D) and Assemblywoman Young Kim (R) trails former Assemblywoman Sharon Quirk-Silva (D).

 

One of the most expensive legislative races in the East Bay between Assemblywoman Catharine Baker (R) and Cheryl Cook-Kallio (D) failed to produce a change of hands for Democrats, despite each side spending upwards of $2.5 million and independent expenditures coming in at about $2 million on both sides.

 

Relative to inter-party fights, former Assemblyman Raul Bocanegra (D) regained his seat from Assemblywoman Patty Lopez (D); and Assemblywoman Cheryl Brown (D) has been unseated by Eloise Reyes (D).

 

In the Senate, Democrats have come up short of a two-thirds gain so far, but managed to hold on to three of their potential target seats.  Assemblywoman Ling Ling Chang (R) is holding a narrow lead against Democrat Josh Newman in the race to fill the seat vacated by termed-out Senate Republican Leader Bob Huff.

 

Overall, Democrats led in fundraising to the tune of roughly $21 million for their top ten races as compared to Republicans’ $8.3 million in those races. 

 

On the policy front, Californians have approved the use of recreational marijuana; affirmed a ban on single-use plastic bags; reformed, not repealed the death penalty; provided broad authority to the Governor and his secretary of the Department of Corrections & Rehabilitation to expand parole and credits for prisoners; and more.  While a good number of the measures saw significant expenditures, Proposition 61 that would have capped drug pricing for veterans was the shining star in this regard with record spending on both sides.  While the measure has been defeated at the ballot box, proponents are poised to again pursue legislation in 2017 that will likely be broader in scope and one of the biggest fights on the horizon.

 

As the dust continues to settle and the close races await confirmation of final vote counts, we now look to December 5th when the 2017-2018 Legislature will be sworn in to office.  While some reports suggest a host of new moderate members will infuse the Assembly, the proof is in the pudding as we move into what is already shaping up to be a big year ahead on a number of policy fronts.  A big unknown is how the two-thirds in the Assembly will play out – will moderates feel empowered to stand together or will members fall in line with leadership and more progressive ideals?  Time will tell….and we’re waiting with baited breath….

 

Statewide Ballot Measures

 

Proposition 51: School Bond Funding.                                                 PASS (53.9% to 46.1%%)

This measure would permit the state to sell $9 billion in general obligation bonds for education facilities ($7 billion for K-12 public school facilities and $2 billion for community college facilities).

 

Proposition 52: State Fees on Hospitals.                                              PASS (69.7% to 30.3%%)

This measure would extend permanently an existing charge imposed on most private hospitals that is scheduled to end on January 1, 2018.  Revenue raised would be used to create state savings, increase payments for hospital services to low-income Californians, and provide grants to public hospitals.

                                                                                                                                                          

Proposition 53: Revenue Bonds.                                                                 FAIL (48.5% to 51.5%)

This measure would require statewide voter approval on all state revenue bonds totaling more than $2 billion for a project that is funded, owned, or managed by the state.

 

Proposition 54: Legislature. Legislation and Proceedings.                PASS (64.3% to 35.7%)

This measure would require any bill (including changes to the bill) to be made available to legislators and posted on the Internet for at least 72 hours before the Legislature could pass it. The Legislature would have to ensure that its public meetings are recorded and make videos of those meetings available on the Internet.

 

Proposition 55 - Tax Extension.                                                                  PASS (62.1% to 37.9%)

This measure would extend the income tax increases on high-income taxpayers, which are scheduled to end after 2018.  Under the measure, these taxes would be extended through 2030.

 

Proposition 56: Cigarette Tax.                                                                     PASS (62.9% to 37.1%)

This measure would increase state excise taxes on cigarettes by $2 per pack—from 87 cents to $2.87.  It would also increase state excise taxes on other tobacco products by a similar amount and apply the taxes to electronic cigarettes. Revenue from these higher taxes would be used for many purposes, but primarily to augment spending on health care for low-income Californians.

 

Proposition 57: Juvenile Criminal Proceedings and Sentencing.     PASS (63.7% to 36.3%)

This measure would (1) require the California Department of Corrections & Rehabilitation (CDCR) to develop regulations to and allow certain state prison inmates convicted of nonviolent felony offenses to be considered for release earlier than otherwise; (2) permit the California Department of Corrections & Rehabilitation (CDCR) to develop regulations for and award additional sentencing credits to inmates for good behavior and approved rehabilitative or educational achievements; and (3) provide sole discretion to the courts to decide whether youth should be tried in juvenile or adult court.

 

Proposition 58 - English language education.                                        PASS (72.5% to 27.5%)

This measure would allow public schools to more easily choose how to teach English learners, whether in English-only, bilingual, or other types of programs.

 

Proposition 59 - Campaign Finance: Voter Instruction.                       PASS (52.4% to 47.6%)

This measure would ask voters to require their elected officials to use their constitutional authority to seek increased regulation of campaign spending and contributions. As an advisory measure, Proposition 59 does not require any particular action by the Congress or California Legislature.

 

Proposition 60 - Adult Films. Condoms. Health Requirements.           FAIL (46.1% to 53.9%)

This measure would institute additional workplace health and safety requirements placed on adult film productions in California and additional ways to enforce those requirements.

 

Proposition 61 - State Drug Purchases. Pricing Standards.                 FAIL (46.3% to 53.7%)

This measure would prohibit state agencies from paying more for any prescription drug than the lowest price paid by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs for the same drug.

 

Proposition 62 - Death Penalty.                                                         FAIL (46.1% to 53.9%)

This measure would abolish the death penalty and convert death penalty offenders’ sentences to life without the possibility of parole, which would be the biggest penalty provided for the most heinous offenses.

 

Proposition 63 - Firearms. Ammunition Sales.                                        PASS (62.7% to 37.3%)

This measure would create a new court process for the removal of firearms from individuals upon conviction of certain crimes. It also contains new requirements related to the selling or purchasing of ammunition.

 

Proposition 64 - Marijuana Legalization.                                                   PASS (56.1% to 43.9%)

This measure would permit adults 21 years of age or older to legally grow, possess, and use marijuana for nonmedical purposes, with certain restrictions. The state would regulate nonmedical marijuana businesses and tax the growing and selling of medical and nonmedical marijuana. Most of the revenue from such taxes would support youth programs, environmental protection, and law enforcement.

 

Proposition 65 – Carryout Bags. Charges.                                                FAIL (44.6% to 55.4%)

This measure would (1) prohibit giving customers certain carryout bags for free and (2) require a charge for other types of carryout bags with the resulting revenue being deposited in a new state fund to support certain environmental programs instead of allowing retailers to retain the funds.

 

Proposition 66 – Death Penalty. Procedures.                                         PASS (50.9% to 49.1%)

This measure would reform the death penalty process.  More specifically, it would revise the court procedures for legal challenges to death sentences including addressing time limits on challenges and revise rules to increase the number of available attorneys for those challenges. Additionally, it would provide that condemned inmates could be housed at any state prison.

 

Proposition 67 – Referendum – Ban on Single-Use Plastic Bags.    PASS (52.0% to 48.0%)

This measure would prohibit most grocery stores, convenience stores, large pharmacies, and liquor stores from providing single-use plastic carryout bags. Stores generally would be required to charge at least 10 cents for any other carryout bag provided to customers at checkout. Stores would keep the resulting revenue.

 

United States Senate

 

Kamala D. Harris Democrat vs. Loretta L. Sanchez Democrat

            ** Harris defeated Sanchez by a margin of 62.7% to 37.3%

 

Congressional Races

 

CD 7 – Ami Bera (incumbent)* Democrat vs. Scott Jones Republican

           ** Bera defeated Jones by a margin of 50.6% to 49.4%           

 

CD 10 – Jeff Denham (incumbent)* Republican vs. Michael Eggman Democrat

           ** Denham defeated Eggman by a margin of 52.4% to 47.6%

 

CD 25 – Steve Knight (incumbent)* Republican vs. Bryan Caforio Democrat

           ** Knight defeated Caforio by a margin of 54.3% to 45.7%

 

CD 44 – Nanette Diaz Barragán Democrat vs. Isadore Hall, III Democrat

            ** Barragan defeated Hall by a margin of 51.2% to 48.8%

 

CD 49 – Darrell Issa (incumbent)* Republican vs. Doug Applegate Democrat

            ** Issa defeated Applegate by a margin of 51.4% to 48.6%    

 

Senate Races

 

SD 3 – Bill Dodd Democrat vs. Mariko Yamada Democrat

           ** Dodd defeated Yamada by a margin of 59.4% to 40.6%

 

SD 5 – Cathleen Galgiani (incumbent)* Democrat vs. Alan Nakanishi Republican

            ** Galgiani defeated Nakanishi by a margin of 55.6% to 44.4%

 

SD 9 – Nancy Skinner Democrat vs. Sandre Swanson Democrat

           ** Skinner defeated Swanson by a margin of 62.7% to 37.3%

 

SD 11 – Jane Kim Democrat vs Scott Weiner Democrat

           ** Weiner defeated Kim by a margin of 52.5% to 47.5%

 

SD 15 – Jim Beall(incumbent)* Democrat vs. Nora Campos Democrat

            ** Beall defeated Campos by a margin of 64.4% to 35.6%

 

SD 21 – Scott Wilk Republican vs. Johnathon Ervin Democrat

           ** Wilk defeated Ervin by a margin of 54.7% to 45.3%

 

SD 25 – Anthony Portantino Democrat vs Michael Antonovich Republican

           ** Portantino defeated Antonovich by a margin of 57.5% to 42.5%

 

SD 27 – Steve Fazio Republican vs. Henry Stern Democrat

            ** Stern defeated Fazio by a margin of 55.0% to 45.0%

 

SD 29 – Ling Ling Chang Republican vs Josh Newman Democrat

           ** Chang defeated Newman by a margin of 50.9% to 49.1%

 

SD 35 – Steve Bradford Democrat vs Warren Furutani Democrat

            ** Bradford defeated Furutani by a margin of 54.3% to 45.7%

 

Assembly Races

 

AD 14 – Tim Grayson Democrat vs Mae Torlakson Democrat

           ** Grayson defeated Torlakson by a margin of 62.1% to 37.9%

 

AD 16 – Catharine Baker (incumbent)* Republican vs Cheryl Cook-Kallio Democrat

           ** Baker defeated Cook-Kallio by a margin of 55.8% to 44.2%

 

AD 24 – Marc Berman Democrat vs Vicki Veenker Democrat

           ** Berman defeated Veenker by a margin of 53.9% to 46.1%

 

AD 27 – Ash Kalra Democrat vs Madison Nguyen Democrat

            ** Kalra defeated Nguyen by a margin of 51.3% to 48.7%

 

AD 30 – Karina Alejo Democrat vs Anna Caballero Democrat

           ** Caballero defeated Alejo by a margin of 63.7% to 36.3%

 

AD 35 – Jordan Cunningham Republican vs Dawn Ortiz- Legg Democrat

           ** Cunningham defeated Ortiz-Legg by a margin of 54.6% to 45.4%

 

AD 36 – Tom Lackey (incumbent)* Republican vs Steve Fox Democrat

            ** Lackey defeated Fox by a margin of 56.1% to 43.9%

 

AD 38 – Dante Acosta Republican vs Christy Smith Democrat

            ** Acosta defeated Smith by a margin of 53.1% to 46.9%

 

AD 39 – Patty Lopez (incumbent)* Democrat vs Raul Bocanegra Democrat

           ** Bocanegra defeated Lopez by a margin of 61.1% to 38.9%

 

AD 40 – Marc Steinorth (incumbent)* Republican vs Abigail Medina Democrat

           ** Steinorth defeated Medina by a margin of 52.3% to 47.7%

 

AD 43 – Laura Friedman Democrat vs Ardy Kassakhian Democrat

            ** Friedman defeated Kassakhian by a margin of 65.2% to 34.8%

 

AD 47 – Cheryl Brown (incumbent)* Democrat vs Eloise Gomez-Reyes Democrat

           ** Reyes defeated Brown by a margin of 53.3% to 46.7%

 

AD 60 – Eric Linder (incumbent)* Democrat vs Sabrina Cervantez Democrat

            ** Cervantes leads Linder by a margin of 52.2% to 47.8%

Close Race as of 5:15 a.m. with only 56.8% of precincts reporting and a margin of 3,753 votes; Party change to Democrat from Republican

 

AD 65 – Young Kim (incumbent)* Republican vs. Sharon Quirk-Silva Democrat

            ** Quirk-Silva leads Kim by a margin of 50.8% to 49.2%

Close Race as of 5:50 a.m. with 100% of precincts reporting and a margin of 1,542 votes; Party change to Democrat from Republican

 

AD 66 – David Hadley (incumbent)* Republican vs Al Muratsuchi Democrat

           ** Muratsuchi defeats Hadley by a margin of 53.0% to 47.0%